Poilievre’s Firm Stance, Vague Process
In a press conference in Calgary, Poilievre criticized the Carney government’s budget, calling it a “costly credit‑card budget” that will raise expenses for Canadians on groceries, housing and living standards.
He asserted that “one hundred per cent” of his MPs oppose the budget, though faced with questions about whether he will instruct them to vote against it, he offered no direct answer.
Conservative MPs’ Mixed History on Budget Votes
The lack of a clear whip contrasts with recent voting behaviour: four Conservative MPs failed to vote on confidence‑triggering amendments to the budget last week.
Reasons given included travel, medical issues and international meetings — but concerned observers say these absences highlight discipline problems within the caucus.
The Stakes: Budget Vote Could Trigger an Election
If the budget fails to pass, Carney’s minority government may face another election. Poilievre seized on that risk, saying Canadians deserve affordability rather than increased taxes and spending.
At the same time, the Liberals hold 169 seats and rely on opposition attendance and abstentions to pass key measures. Even a tie could allow the budget to pass if the Speaker votes in favour of the government.
What Observers Are Watching
- Whether Poilievre will issue a formal whip to vote against the budget.
- If any Conservative MPs diverge and vote in favour or abstain, weakening the leader’s stance.
- How opposition parties like the New Democratic Party and the Bloc Québécois will behave, and whether they switch strategy or force a confidence vote.
- The budget’s fate on November 17 and whether Canada heads into an election or the government holds on to power.
